•In the 2004, presidential election, of those Texans who voted for either Kerry or Bush,
• 62% voted for Bush and
• 38% for Kerry.
•Of the Massachusetts residents who voted for either Kerry or Bush,
• 37% voted for Bush and
• 63% for Kerry.
•Bill was a Kerry voter. He comes from either Texas or Massachusetts but I know nothing more about him.
•Is it more likely that he comes from Texas or from Massachusetts?