@COMMENT This file was generated by bib2html.pl version 0.90 @COMMENT written by Patrick Riley @COMMENT This file came from Peter Stone's publication pages at @COMMENT http://www.cs.utexas.edu/~pstone/papers @article{JAIR21-covid, author = {Roberto Capobianco and Varun Kompella and James Ault and Guni Sharon and Stacy Jong and Spencer Fox and Lauren Meyers and Peter R.\ Wurman and Peter Stone}, title = {Agent-Based Markov Modeling for Improved {COVID}-19 Mitigation Policies}, journal={The Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research (JAIR)}, volume={71}, year = {2021}, pages={953--92}, month={August}, abstract = {The year 2020 saw the covid-19 virus lead to one of the worst global pandemics in history. As a result, governments around the world have been faced with the challenge of protecting public health while keeping the economy running to the greatest extent possible. Epidemiological models provide insight into the spread of these types of diseases and predict the effects of possible intervention policies. However, to date, even the most data-driven intervention policies rely on heuristics. In this paper, we study how reinforcement learning (RL) and Bayesian inference can be used to optimize mitigation policies that minimize economic impact without overwhelming hospital capacity. Our main contributions are (1) a novel agent-based pandemic simulator which, unlike traditional models, is able to model fine-grained interactions among people at specific locations in a community; (2) an RLbased methodology for optimizing fine-grained mitigation policies within this simulator; and (3) a Hidden Markov Model for predicting infected individuals based on partial observations regarding test results, presence of symptoms, and past physical contacts.}, Article available from JAIR website.
Simulator source code.}, }